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Approximation of the Impact of Interest Rates on Hotel Capitalization Rates: Australian Market
This analysis attempts to apply findings from the paper The Effect of a Rise in Interest Rates on Hotel Capitalization Rates by Jack...
Aus Domestic Visitation Analysis & Outlook
In our opinion for the short term, we forecast that domestic visitation in terms of holiday and friends and family visits have peaked in...
Australia Hotel Supply Analysis and Outlook '23 (4) - Regarding STRA
To measure the upcoming potential oversupply risks, the short-term rental accommodation market (STRA), ie. Airbnb etc, needs to be taken...
Australia Hotel Supply Analysis and Outlook '23 (3)
Due to escalating construction costs, rising cost of capital and investor appetite due to current macroeconomic environment, a total of...
Australia Hotel Supply Analysis and Outlook '23 (2)
On data (raw source courtesy of STA). As of FY22, there are 5,899 properties providing 312,500 short term accommodations in inventory,...
Australia Hotel Supply Analysis and Outlook '23 (1)
In our opinion, the combined trend of lower short term rental accommodation stock (e.g. Airbnb) due to rising residential yields, and low...
Australia Short Term Accommodation Performance Analysis and Forecast (4) - RevPar
RevPar is on the road to recovery with occupancies on the rise and ADR outperforming 2019 across all capital cities. Chart 13 shows 4...
Australia Short Term Accommodation Performance Analysis and Forecast (3) - Occupancy
Occupancy rates are yet to match 2019’s peak, but are increasing. Australia’s accommodation average occupancy Dec22 currently at 65%,...
Australia Short Term Accommodation Performance Analysis and Forecast (2) - ADR
Australian mean ADR is at $228(Dec22), compared with $184(Dec19), a greater than 20% increase from 2019 historic peak. On average...
Australia Short Term Accommodation Performance Analysis and Forecast (1)
It seems probable Australia hotel asset class will become favourable alternative assets in ‘23 with returning strong occupancy trend,...
Short Term International Travel to Australia Analysis and Forecast (3)
Delving deeper (this data can also be matched with hotel / bread and breakfast room supply to extrapolate supply and demand gap) in chart...
Short Term International Travel to Australia Analysis and Forecast (2)
Total international arrivals (mix of AUS citizen long and short term and non-AUS citizen long and short term) in Jan23 Australia reached...
Short Term International Travel to Australia Analysis and Forecast (1)
In our opinion, key optimizers to accommodation revenues are the return of international travel. In ‘22, international travel has only...
Cost Efficiency Analysis
With roughly 25% of all Australian mortgages switching from 2% fixed to 6%+ variable in 2023 & RBA taking a more hawkish stance to fight...
Exits 2
Options to extend agreements, usually in 5 year increments, are usually like this: “If there is not, at the time the caretaker gives...
Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis on ROI (2)
Interest Rates and ROI 2 Continuing on from the question on interest rates, here we try to answer the questions of the listings in...
Interest Rate Sensitivity Analysis on ROI (1)
(Graphic 1) (Graphic 2) Interest Rates and ROI So how do interest rates affect ROI with respect to management rights? Here we did a study...
RBA Hikes
Better do an interest rate sensitivty analysis on the returns with these rate hikes
Price Range
Here’s an analysis of the total purchase price, business price and property price for 32 projects (graphic 3) currently listed in the...
Valuation of MR Assets (3)
This post is pure research opinion, data obtained from listings via theonsitemanager.com.au Graphic 1 We’d like to start with the...
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